TLDR;
In this market briefing, Om Silent from Silent Trader Academy discusses recent trading successes, market conditions, and potential stock picks for the upcoming trading day. He emphasizes the importance of community support, disciplined trading, and adapting to market volatility. He also touches on the impact of political and economic factors on the stock market, offering insights into both short-term and long-term investment strategies.
- The Silent Trader Academy achieved a 100% win rate in a recent market downturn, highlighting the accuracy of their recommendations.
- The JCI (Jakarta Composite Index) faces potential downward pressure due to foreign selling and political uncertainty.
- BCA (Bank Central Asia) is recommended for long-term investment, especially if acquired at pre-pandemic prices, despite short-term volatility.
- Several stocks, including Toba, BTPS, CBRE, Buvafa, Minina, Pani, and Telkom, are analyzed for potential trading opportunities, with cautions about market conditions and money management.
Introduction [0:01]
Om Silent, founder of Silent Trader Academy, introduces himself and the academy's offerings, which include free and paid programs for forex, crypto, and stocks. He encourages viewers to follow their social media channels for updates and live videos. He mentions an upcoming live session with Mandiri Sekuritas and an Instagram live to discuss the market and Elliot Wave analysis.
Why Watch Market Briefing Videos [1:47]
Om Silent highlights the benefits of watching the academy's market briefing videos, referencing a previous video where a trading tip led to profitable trades. He emphasizes the community's success, with members achieving significant profits even in a challenging market. He also mentions the academy's transparent approach and the availability of free recommendations for active traders in Mandiri Sekuritas, Stockbit, and MNC.
Market Conditions and JCI Analysis [5:29]
The market briefing addresses the current market conditions, noting a 100% win rate despite a red market. Om Silent points out the high foreign selling pressure and the potential negative impact of recent changes in the Minister of Finance. He notes that banking stocks, particularly BCA, have been heavily affected by foreign outflows. He warns that the JCI has broken a trendline, indicating a potential deep drop, and advises caution in the short term, especially regarding banking stocks.
Investment Strategies and BCA Recommendation [8:58]
Om Silent discusses investment strategies in light of the current market conditions. For long-term investors, he recommends BCA, especially if it can be acquired at prices similar to pre-pandemic levels. He acknowledges short-term risks due to continued foreign selling but suggests that BCA remains a strong long-term investment due to its fundamental strength and potential benefits from future economic policies.
Stock Analysis: FUTR, Toba, and BTPS [10:52]
Om Silent answers viewer questions about specific stocks. He notes the potential of FUTR but does not recommend it due to its significant recent gains. He remains positive about Toba, highlighting its technical setup and potential for upward movement. However, he expresses caution about BTPS, warning of a potential breakdown and suggesting the need for a significant catalyst for it to break through resistance.
CBRE and Community Considerations [15:10]
Om Silent explains why he doesn't discuss certain low-volume stocks like CBRE, emphasizing his responsibility to the Silent Trader Academy's large membership base. He prioritizes stocks with sufficient liquidity to accommodate the trading activities of his members, whose capital assets range from millions to billions of Rupiah. He highlights the importance of integrity as a mentor, focusing on recommendations that benefit the entire community.
Stock Analysis: Buvafa and Minina [18:04]
Om Silent analyzes Buvafa, noting its sideways movement and identifying key support and resistance levels for range trading. He then discusses Minina, highlighting its recent FCA exit and potential for fried trading. He identifies strong support areas for Minina and suggests that buying below 160 presents a favorable risk-reward opportunity, assuming a sideways trading pattern.
Stock Analysis: Pani [19:56]
Om Silent examines Pani, noting a significant correction and outflow potentially related to a public expose. Despite the outflow, he suggests that speculating under 13,000 could be viable for those confident in the issuer's fundamentals. He advises caution and highlights key support levels, recommending a layered approach to bottom fishing.
Stock Analysis: Telkom and Mr. Prajogo's Shares (CDIA) [22:35]
Om Silent discusses Telkom, noting an interesting gap closure and potential for upward movement if confirmed by the next day's candle. He then addresses Mr. Prajogo's shares (CDIA), suggesting that Big Money is unlikely to take immediate action due to political instability and uncertainty. Despite this, he notes continued accumulation, indicating long-term potential, and identifies a strong support area for swing trading.
CDIA, Petero and Closing Remarks [25:11]
Om Silent mentions waiting for developments regarding CDIA, noting some panic selling and anticipating continued volatility until market conditions stabilize. He maintains a neutral stance on the brand. He also touches on Petero, highlighting a strong area for potential entry, especially if it reaches 3,000. He advises using money management and setting entry points carefully, acknowledging the risk of further support tests if market conditions worsen. He concludes by thanking viewers and inviting them to join the Silent Trader Academy for guidance and support.