Brief Summary
This video discusses the potential pressure on Pakistan to recognize Israel, the historical context of colonial settler projects, and the potential demands Pakistan might make in return for recognizing Israel. It also examines the positions of other Muslim countries like Saudi Arabia and Indonesia, and the potential consequences of recognizing Israel without addressing the Palestinian issue.
- Pakistan faces pressure to recognize Israel, contingent on significant offers from the US or Saudi Arabia's recognition.
- Historical context: European colonial settler projects, with Australia as the last successful one and failures in South Africa and Algeria.
- Recognition of Israel by key Muslim countries like Pakistan and Saudi Arabia would legitimize Israeli occupation of Palestine.
- Potential demands from Pakistan for recognizing Israel include an independent Palestinian state and a substantial package for themselves.
- The US may offer security guarantees, nuclear program assistance, and advanced weapons to Saudi Arabia in exchange for normalizing relations with Israel.
Introduction: Pressure on Pakistan to Recognize Israel
The video begins by addressing the question of whether Pakistan is facing pressure to recognize Israel. It questions what Pakistan might demand in return for granting legitimacy to the "foreign occupation" and whether any Muslim political government can take the political risk of accepting Israel after the ongoing conflict. The video suggests that pressure to recognize Israel exists and explores what countries like Egypt and Jordan received in return for recognition.
Conditions for Real Pressure on Pakistan
The discussion shifts to the conditions under which pressure on Pakistan to recognize Israel would become significant. The speaker asserts that current pressure is not substantial unless the United States makes significant offers to Pakistan or Saudi Arabia recognizes Israel, even partially, through trade or liaison offices. Without these steps, any discussions about recognition are merely exploratory.
Importance of Pakistan and Saudi Arabia in Recognizing Israel
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are highlighted as the two most important Muslim countries in the context of Israel's recognition. Saudi Arabia holds significance as the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, while Pakistan is a populous Muslim country with nuclear capabilities. Recognition from these countries would provide legal validation to Israel's occupation of Palestine, transforming it into sovereign Israeli land.
Historical Context: Colonial Settler Projects
The discussion provides historical context by examining colonial settler projects, with Australia being the last successful European project. The video defines a settler colonial project as one where a large population migrates to an inhabited land, displaces the native population, and establishes dominance. Following Australia, European powers initiated projects in South Africa and Algeria, both of which ultimately failed.
Failure of Colonial Projects: South Africa and Algeria
The video details the failures of the colonial projects in South Africa and Algeria. In South Africa, despite 342 years of settlement efforts, the native black population resisted, leading to the end of apartheid in 1994 and the formation of a single state with equal rights. Similarly, French occupation of Algeria failed in 1962 due to the resistance of the native population, despite France considering Algeria as its sovereign territory.
Israel as the Third Settler Project
Israel is identified as the third settler project of Western powers, following the failures of South Africa and Algeria. The speaker suggests that efforts to solidify this project have escalated to genocide. The younger generation worldwide is beginning to understand the root of the issue as occupation and colonial project.
Conditions for Pakistan and Saudi Arabia's Recognition
The video posits that if Pakistan and Saudi Arabia were to recognize Israel, America would need to offer substantial incentives. These incentives would need to be so significant that they would be hard to refuse, given the historical and moral implications of legitimizing the Israeli project.
Indonesia's Position and Potential Demands
Indonesia, with a large Muslim population, is unlikely to easily agree to legitimize Israel. The speaker suggests that any recognition of Israel by major Muslim rulers and Arab leaders would require an independent, self-governing Palestinian state with intact geography. Additionally, these leaders might seek significant benefits for themselves in exchange for legalizing an illegal situation.
Alternative Solutions and Potential Consequences
The video presents an alternative solution: uniting Palestinian occupied areas and the Arab population of Israel into one country with equal rights for all. It warns that a two-state solution or multiple empire situation, as considered by Israel and America, would lead to continuous war and genocide. Recognition of Israel by Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia would be almost irreversible without a major revolution.
Global Recognition vs. Regional Acceptance
The video highlights that while many countries recognize Israel, regional acceptance is crucial for its stability. Even if the entire world recognizes Israel, its statehood will not be secure until the region where it is located grants legitimacy. Several countries have downgraded or ended relations with Israel after initially recognizing it.
Public Opinion and Political Risks
Public opinion in Arab countries is overwhelmingly against recognizing Israel, with a survey indicating that only 4% of Arabs support recognition. Any government that accepts Israel without establishing a Palestinian state faces significant political risks. In Pakistan, public sentiment overwhelmingly favors Palestinians, making it difficult for any government to go against this opinion.
Pakistan's Official Policy and Potential Scenarios
Pakistan's official policy is that it will not recognize Israel until an independent Palestinian state with its capital in East Jerusalem is established. However, if Palestinians and Arabs reach a peace agreement with Israel, Pakistan would not object.
US Strategy and Historical Deals with Egypt and Jordan
The video suggests that the US aims to normalize relations between Middle Eastern and Muslim rulers with Israel, similar to deals made with Egypt and Jordan. These deals involved Israel vacating occupied territories and the US providing military and economic aid. However, Egypt's current economic struggles indicate that these deals did not bring lasting benefits.
Deals with Jordan and the Abraham Accords
The US also made a separate deal with Jordan in exchange for normalization with Israel, providing financial assistance and military support. Inspired by these deals, the Abraham Accords in 2020 saw UAE, Niraqsh, Sudan, and Bahrain also accepting Israel, excluding Palestine. This led to disappointment among Palestinians and contributed to the events of October 7, 2023.
Current Challenges and Public Sentiment
The recent conflict and the resulting casualties have made it difficult for Arab leaders to move forward with the Abraham Accords without addressing the Palestinian issue. A significant majority of people in Arab countries believe that the Palestinian issue is a collective Arab issue, not just a local one.
Potential Saudi Arabia Deal and Its Weaknesses
The video suggests that Saudi Arabia may move towards recognition with a "fake face saving" measure, prioritizing formal guarantees over genuine Palestinian independence. The US-Israel deal with Saudi Arabia includes security guarantees, a civil nuclear program, and advanced weapons. However, the promise of a path towards Palestinian independence is seen as the weakest part of the deal.
Implications of the Saudi Deal and Conditions for Pakistan
The speaker argues that even if the promise of Palestinian independence is not fulfilled, Saudi Arabia will likely not compromise on the other benefits of the deal. Pressure on Pakistan to grant legitimacy to Israel will only arise when a significant package is offered by the US or recognition is done by Saudi Arabia with irreversible steps taken for the establishment of a Palestinian state.
Current Situation and Future Prospects
The video concludes that current discussions about pressure on Pakistan are just rumors and have not reached a serious diplomatic level. The speaker does not foresee any immediate possibility of such an offer, as current efforts are focused on the conflict in Gaza. Recognition of Israel by Arabs is seen as accepting a "policeman" who prioritizes control over its neighbors for its security.
Saudi Arabia's Position and the Need for Collective Action
Saudi Arabia is eager to accept the settlement project in exchange for security and a nuclear program, but cannot do so alone. Until steps are taken towards establishing a Palestinian state, countries like Pakistan and Indonesia cannot join hands with Saudi Arabia. The House of Saud cannot sign the Abraham Accord alone without risking its legitimacy and stability.
