TLDR;
Kirk Herbstreit and Joey Galloway discuss the first College Football Playoff (CFP) rankings, focusing on the surprising top three: Ohio State, Indiana, and Texas A&M. They debate the role of analytics versus the committee's observations in ranking teams, the strength of various conferences, and the implications for teams like Oregon, Texas, and Pittsburgh. They also answer viewer questions about head-to-head matchups, Notre Dame's playoff chances, and potential scenarios involving Michigan and USC.
- The initial CFP rankings sparked debate over the committee's methodology, particularly the balance between analytics and subjective evaluation.
- Conference strength and the potential for multiple teams from the same conference to make the playoff were key discussion points.
- Several teams, including Oregon, Texas, Pittsburgh, and Notre Dame, face critical upcoming games that will significantly impact their playoff hopes.
Introduction [0:01]
Kirk Herbstreit and Joey Galloway introduce the show, noting its usual Monday morning slot but making an exception to discuss the newly released CFP rankings. Galloway mentions his surprise at the top three teams in the rankings, particularly the placement of Ohio State, Indiana, and Texas A&M.
CFP Rankings: Analytics vs. Observation [0:54]
Galloway expresses surprise that the committee ranked Ohio State first, despite Texas A&M having better analytics. Herbstreit suggests the committee might be prioritizing what they see on the field over analytics. Galloway worries that without accountability to a clear process, rankings could become a simple voting system. Herbstreit counters that analytics are typically used to differentiate between closely ranked teams, not when a team is perceived as clearly superior.
Debate on Ohio State, Indiana, and Texas A&M [3:59]
Galloway questions whether Ohio State is truly a step above Indiana and Texas A&M. He points out that the committee mentioned Ohio State's and Indiana's wins, which implies those wins were considered. Galloway argues that if wins are mentioned, they should be properly considered. Herbstreit acknowledges Indiana's strong performances, including a win at Oregon, but notes the need to assess Oregon's current strength.
Conference Strength and the ACC [8:13]
The discussion shifts to conference representation in the rankings, with the SEC having eight teams and the Big Ten having seven. The ACC's highest-ranked team is at 14, raising questions about whether the Big 12 or ACC might get two teams in the playoff. Herbstreit suggests the committee's rankings reflect their overall respect for each conference. The ACC has depth, which might help them with at-large bids.
Team Spotlights: Oregon, Texas, and Pittsburgh [10:21]
Oregon is ranked ninth, which Galloway believes puts them in a tough spot, as another loss could significantly impact their playoff chances. Texas, at 11, played their best game against Vandy, but their upcoming game against Georgia will be crucial. Pittsburgh (Pit), ranked 24th, has important upcoming games against Notre Dame, Georgia Tech, and Miami, which will heavily influence the ACC's playoff picture. If Pit wins these games, they could significantly rise in the rankings and potentially help the ACC get a second team into the playoff.
Committee Mindset and Offensive Line Play [13:47]
Galloway notes that the initial rankings set a precedent and reveal the committee's mindset. Herbstreit highlights that the committee mentioned offensive line play, indicating a detailed evaluation. They discuss the diverse backgrounds of committee members and defend the committee against criticism, arguing that they are in a tough position and are doing their best.
Head-to-Head Matchups and Notre Dame [16:18]
Answering a viewer question about head-to-head matchups, Galloway says Miami's recent losses diminish the importance of their head-to-head result. He believes head-to-head matchups should matter, but not if the teams have significantly changed since the game. Herbstreit discusses Notre Dame's playoff potential, stating that if they win their remaining games, they are a lock for the playoff. Galloway agrees, noting Notre Dame's resilience after a rough start to the season.
Hypothetical Scenarios: Michigan, Ohio State, and USC [19:20]
Herbstreit and Galloway consider a scenario where Michigan beats Ohio State. Herbstreit believes Michigan would be a lock for the playoff at 10-2, while Ohio State would likely drop to around fourth or fifth. They then discuss a complex scenario involving Michigan, USC, and the Big Ten Championship game. If USC wins out and beats Iowa in the Big Ten Championship, it would be difficult to rank Michigan above them, even if Michigan beats Ohio State, due to USC's earlier decisive win over Michigan.
Overrated and Underrated Teams [23:34]
When asked about overrated or underrated teams, both Herbstreit and Galloway say no, praising the committee's overall job. Galloway was surprised not to see Memphis in the rankings, as there is usually a Group of Five team represented. They note the SEC's strong representation in the top 12 and the Big Ten's top two teams.
Conclusion [24:35]
Herbstreit acknowledges Galloway's early flight and wraps up the show. They thank the viewers and sign off.