Brief Summary
This video provides a comprehensive overview of the stock market, focusing on predictions for the upcoming trading day, July 14, 2025. It includes analysis from market analysts, economic data releases, global market news, and FII/DII data. The video also covers important economic updates, trade negotiations, and technical analysis of Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty.
- Market analysts predict potential support and resistance levels for Nifty 50.
- Key economic data releases, including CPI and WPI inflation rates, are expected.
- Global factors such as China's economic slowdown and trade tariffs impact market dynamics.
- Technical analysis of Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty identifies key resistance and support levels.
Market Analyst Predictions
Market analysts from LLKP Securities suggest that Nifty 50 has broken critical levels at 25350 and 25200, reducing market optimism. The first support level is expected at 25090, with a further fall potentially reaching 24900. Resistance is noted at 25550 and 25400, indicating limited upside potential. Another analyst on Money Control highlights the breaking of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) as a bearish signal, suggesting a potential breach of 25000. Resistance is expected at 25300, with support at 25000.
Economic Data and Updates
India's foreign exchange reserves declined by $3.04 billion, bringing the total to $699.74 billion. Bank credit growth rebounded with a 9.5% increase in June after hitting a three-year low in May. On July 14, the CPI inflation rate (expected to be around 2.5%) and WPI inflation rate will be released at 4:00 PM and 12:00 noon, respectively. Piyush Goyal reported India is set to achieve 4000% growth in solar capacity.
Global Economic Factors
China's GDP growth is slowing, increasing pressure on policymakers as companies shift manufacturing to India due to tariff issues. The US imposed a 30% tariff on China, with ongoing negotiations potentially reducing tariffs on India to below 20%. West Bengal's Purulia district has been identified as a rare earth mining hub by the Geological Survey of India (GSI). India's trade deficit narrowed in June due to falling oil prices and gold imports.
Trade and Tariffs
India's oil imports from Russia have reached an 11-month high, despite potential 500% tariffs threatened by the US for countries trading with Russia on energy. Taiwanese and Vietnamese firms are considering investing in India's footwear sector. FPIs (Foreign Portfolio Investors) continue to buy Indian stocks into the fourth month of July, despite some weakness in the last week. US imposed a 30% tariff on the European Union and Mexico, which may lead to retaliatory tariffs. India benefits from a trade surplus with the US, making it cautious in trade negotiations.
Market Performance and FII/DII Data
The US market showed weakness, with the 10-year bond yield closing up by 1.5%. Brent crude prices fell by 2.5%. The Indian currency's valuation declined. Wipro and HDFC Bank closed down, while Infosys closed positive. Nifty's closing was weak at 25191 points, only 42 points higher than the previous day. FIIs sold shares worth ₹5104 crore, while DIIs made purchases but could not offset the FII selling. Israel's top index, TA 35, fell below 3000 points, declining by 2.33%.
Market Analysis and Predictions
Before the market opens, track DOW Jones futures and NASDAQ futures. Key sectors to watch include IT, banking, and oil. Nifty 50's 20-day EMA (around 25250) was broken, indicating a potential hurdle. Resistance levels for Nifty 50 are at 25250 and 25350. A psychological support level is at 25000, with a potential fall of 100 points if this level is breached. Bank Nifty's closing was better than Nifty 50, staying above the 20-day EMA. Resistance for Bank Nifty is at 57000, with support at 56650.
